Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001414 0.001505 0.001599 0.001704 0.001816 0.001934 0.002067
2024-10-20 0.001264 0.001386 0.001517 0.001668 0.001837 0.002020 0.002236
2024-10-27 0.001171 0.001316 0.001474 0.001662 0.001879 0.002123 0.002419
2024-11-03 0.001068 0.001222 0.001396 0.001607 0.001856 0.002144 0.002503
2024-11-10 0.001021 0.001189 0.001382 0.001621 0.001911 0.002253 0.002691
2024-11-17 0.000965 0.001141 0.001346 0.001605 0.001926 0.002313 0.002820
2024-11-24 0.000932 0.001118 0.001337 0.001620 0.001976 0.002416 0.003004
2024-12-01 0.000882 0.001070 0.001296 0.001591 0.001970 0.002445 0.003093
2024-12-08 0.000844 0.001035 0.001268 0.001577 0.001979 0.002493 0.003207
2024-12-15 0.000810 0.001004 0.001244 0.001566 0.001991 0.002543 0.003324
2024-12-22 0.000785 0.000982 0.001229 0.001565 0.002016 0.002610 0.003465
2024-12-29 0.000755 0.000954 0.001205 0.001551 0.002022 0.002650 0.003571
2025-01-05 0.000730 0.000932 0.001190 0.001551 0.002051 0.002730 0.003744
2025-01-12 0.000693 0.000894 0.001153 0.001521 0.002036 0.002746 0.003828
2025-01-19 0.000670 0.000872 0.001136 0.001516 0.002056 0.002814 0.003989
2025-01-26 0.000631 0.000828 0.001089 0.001466 0.002010 0.002784 0.004002
2025-02-02 0.000617 0.000817 0.001086 0.001479 0.002054 0.002885 0.004217
2025-02-09 0.000596 0.000795 0.001065 0.001465 0.002058 0.002927 0.004344
2025-02-16 0.000584 0.000786 0.001063 0.001478 0.002102 0.003030 0.004570
2025-02-23 0.000561 0.000760 0.001035 0.001453 0.002086 0.003041 0.004650
2025-03-02 0.000543 0.000741 0.001017 0.001440 0.002089 0.003080 0.004775
2025-03-09 0.000526 0.000724 0.001001 0.001429 0.002095 0.003124 0.004912
2025-03-16 0.000514 0.000712 0.000992 0.001429 0.002116 0.003193 0.005091